What the Federal Budget Could Mean for the Property Market in 2026

Heidi Htut

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The 2026 Federal Budget has introduced a range of proposed measures that are expected to influence Australia’s property market over the coming years. While the headlines have focused heavily on tax reform and investment settings, the overall approach is one of gradual transition rather than immediate disruption.

At its core, the Budget aims to rebalance long-term investment incentives while supporting increased housing supply across the country.

A Market Driven by Long-Term Fundamentals

Despite policy changes, the Australian property market continues to be underpinned by strong structural drivers, including:
  • Population growth across major cities
  • Ongoing housing undersupply
  • Strong rental demand
  • Long-term confidence in property ownership
These fundamentals remain unchanged and continue to support both residential and investment markets.

Focus on Housing Supply

A key priority in the Budget is increasing housing supply to ease long-term pressure on affordability and rentals.
This is expected to include support for:
  • New housing developments
  • Infrastructure investment (roads, utilities, transport)
  • Build-to-rent projects
  • Incentives for developers and construction activity
  • Support for first-home buyers
If successfully delivered, increased supply may gradually ease rental pressures and improve housing availability, particularly in high-demand metropolitan areas.

Impact on Interest Rates and Borrowing Conditions

While interest rates remain the responsibility of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Budget settings can still influence broader economic sentiment.
Potential outcomes for buyers include:
  • Improved confidence in borrowing conditions
  • Stabilisation of household cost pressures
  • Stronger sentiment if inflation continues to ease
Overall, stability in inflation and employment conditions may encourage more property market activity in the second half of the year.

Negative Gearing and Investment Changes

From 1 July 2027, changes are proposed to how negative gearing applies to established residential properties.
Key updates include:
  • Losses from established properties may only be offset against residential property income or capital gains
  • Existing investors are expected to be grandfathered if purchases occurred before 12 May 2026
  • Negative gearing remains available for new builds
These changes may encourage investors to shift focus toward:
  • New developments
  • Off-the-plan properties
  • House-and-land packages

Capital Gains Tax (CGT) Reform

From 1 July 2027, the capital gains tax framework is expected to transition toward a new model.
Proposed changes include:
  • Replacement of the 50% CGT discount with an indexation-based system
  • A minimum 30% tax rate on net capital gains for certain entities
  • Continued exemption for principal places of residence
  • Transitional arrangements for existing assets
Investors may increasingly adopt longer-term holding strategies as a result of these changes.

Rental Market Conditions

Sydney and other major cities continue to experience strong rental demand and low vacancy rates.
Key pressures include:
  • Limited rental supply
  • Strong population growth
  • Rising competition for well-located properties
Landlords and investors are also monitoring:
  • Tax policy changes
  • Landlord incentives
  • Cost-of-living measures affecting tenants
  • Housing support initiatives
Rental affordability remains a key issue across the market.

Opportunities for Investors

Despite policy changes, long-term investment fundamentals remain strong.
Key drivers include:
  • Ongoing population growth
  • Infrastructure expansion
  • Strong rental demand
  • Limited housing supply in growth corridors
Western Sydney in particular continues to attract investor interest due to:
  • Transport upgrades
  • Employment growth
  • Major residential development

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

Buyers

Buyers may benefit from:
  • Gradual improvements in housing supply
  • Slight easing of investor competition in some segments
  • Continued strong demand for quality homes
However, competition for well-located properties is still expected to remain strong.

Sellers

For sellers, market outcomes will continue to depend on local conditions rather than Budget announcements alone.
Well-presented homes in desirable areas are expected to maintain strong buyer interest, particularly from owner-occupiers.

Final Thoughts

The 2026 Federal Budget introduces several policy adjustments that may influence the property market over time, particularly around taxation and housing supply.
However, the transition is gradual, and the Australian property market remains supported by strong long-term fundamentals.
For buyers, sellers, landlords, and investors, staying informed and focusing on individual circumstances will remain the key to making confident property decisions in 2026 and beyond.
If you would like a property appraisal, rental market update, or tailored advice, the C&R Realty International team is here to help.

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Understanding Land Tax in NSW: What Property Owners Need to Know

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#insights
#market
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#investors

Heidi Htut

If you own property in New South Wales—or are considering investing—you may have heard of land tax but aren’t quite sure how it works or whether it applies to you.

Land tax is a NSW State Government tax calculated annually on the unimproved value of land (excluding buildings). The good news? Your principal place of residence is generally exempt. Land tax usually applies only once your investment land value exceeds a certain threshold.

Understanding how land tax works is essential, particularly for investors, developers, or anyone building a property portfolio. Let’s break it down.